TO: Executive Board Members and Statewide Labor Management Chairs

FROM: Thomas Cetrino, Martin O’Connor, Susan Mitnick, Stephen Connolly, Michael Marinello and Amy Sisson

DATE: January 19, 2001

RE: Executive Budget SFY 2001-02 – Summary of Major Provisions

 

STATE WORKFORCE IMPACT

 

The Executive Budget proposes to maintain the overall size of the State workforce at approximately 194,500 employees. According to the Division of Budget (DOB), there are currently 194,500 employees in the State workforce, which will increase to about 195,000 employees by March 31, 2001 and then decrease back to 194,500 employees by March 31, 2002. It is important to note that last year GOER and DOB projected that the State workforce would reach 195,900 employees by March 31, 2001. The State has not provided a breakout as to which State agencies will gain or lose employees but has stated that no layoffs are anticipated under the proposed budget. Our analysis of the budget documents indicates that the State will lose 513 full-time equivalent positions (FTEs) between March 31, 2001 and March 31, 2002 (see Attachment A). The agencies with the largest changes in FTEs will be the:

 

 

 

 

 

GOER provided Attachment B with its estimates of the FTE losses by State agency from 3/31/01 to 3/31/02. This attachment provides more detail as to the nature of job changes in State agencies and includes FTE information for off-budget agencies including the State Insurance Fund and the Roswell Park Cancer Institute Corporation. It is important to note that the 2,256 FTE loss associated with the hiring freeze is the number of FTEs lost because DOB does not fill a funded vacancy or fills it later in the fiscal year.

 

It is also important to note that GOER has informed PEF that the Governor is leaning towards not extending the current early retirement incentive program which will expire on March 31, 2001. They believe an extension is unnecessary since the State does not plan any layoffs and plans to eliminate relatively few positions.

 

In addition to this memo, we are forwarding to the respective Executive Board members and Statewide Labor Management Chairs our department’s line-by-line analysis of the Program Details–State Operations portion of the budget for the ten State agencies with the most significant changes in their budgets. It is important to note that most personal service appropriations have increased by at least 9.5% to reflect the contractual increases agreed to by State employee unions last year. Last years personal service appropriations did not reflect any contractual increases as they were paid out of a dedicated reserve fund. If an agency program’s personal service appropriation increase is below 9.5% it generally means there has been a cut in the number of FTEs working in that program.

 

Next week we will distribute any revised drafts of the major agency summaries sent this week as well as State Operations summaries for all other agencies. We have also included on PEF’s website a complete copy of Executive Budget Appendix I and all State budget legislation which contains each State agency’s specific budget information. Executive Board members and Statewide Labor Management Chairs who do not have a computer to access PEF’s website and want a copy of their agency’s budget should call the Research Department at 1-800-342-4306 ext. 280 and request that we mail you a copy.

 

 

AGENCY CONSOLIDATIONS

 

The Executive Budget once again proposes the consolidation of the State Museum, State Library, and State Archives into a new Office of Cultural Resources (OCR) within the Council of the Arts. The Executive Budget proposes that this consolidation occur in October 2001. Funds for OCR’s operations and grant programs will be transferred from the State Education Department’s Cultural Education Program and Office of Management Services. The Executive Budget states that OCR will have a staff of 445 FTEs and that no staff reductions are anticipated. The consolidation seems to be motivated by making these cultural entities directly accountable to the Governor rather than the Board of Regents, who are appointed by the Legislature and not the Governor. Last year the Legislature rejected this proposal.

 

 

FISCAL BACKGROUND INFORMATION

 

The Executive Budget forecasts a $1.4 billion surplus for SFY 2000-01. This surplus is largely due to increased State personal income tax, sales tax and miscellaneous receipts, and tax revenues from the record profits generated by Wall Street. The Assembly has stated that they believe the SFY 2000-01 surplus will be $1 billion larger than the $1.4 billion projected by the Governor. The Governor proposes to keep the entire surplus in reserve to "…remain the nation’s tax-cutting leader and safeguard existing budgetary commitments in the event of a significant slowdown in the national economy." Some critics have stated that the Governor is simply keeping as much cash as he can so he will be able to spend it next year when he is up for re-election.

 

The State currently has reserves of approximately $3.9 billion, including the estimated $1.4 million surplus for SFY 2000-01 including:

At the end of SFY 2001-02, the State would have approximately $2.4 billion in reserve funds if the Governor’s proposals are adopted by the Legislature.

The State’s Financial Plan forecasts that "…New York’s economic growth is expected to slow in 2001 with annual growth in total and private sector employment projected to be slower than in 2000." The Financial Plan also forecasts a modest 2.6% increase in cash receipts for All Governmental Funds, from $80.517 billion in SFY 2000-01 to $82.875 billion in SFY 2001-02. Personal Income Tax receipts are only expected to grow by 2.7% from $27.118 billion in SFY 2000-01 to $27.852 billion in SFY 2001-02. Personal income tax receipts grew by 26% between SFY1999-00 and SFY 2000-01.

 

Table 1

PROJECTED GENERAL FUND BUDGET GAPS FOR SFYs 2002-03 AND 2003-04

($ in millions)

 

2002-03 2003-04

 

Receipts 41,128 42,371

 

Disbursements (43,806) (45,294)

 

Use of Community Projects Fund Balance 188 0

 

Remaining Gap (2,490) (2,923)

 

2003-04 Gap if 2002-03 Gap is Closed

With Recurring Actions (433)

 

 

The State still faces structural budget gaps of $2.49 billion in SFY 2002-03 and $2.923 billion in SFY 2003-04. These gaps are largely due to the back loading of already enacted tax cuts and expected decreases in Personal Income Tax and business tax receipts. In SFY 2001-02, already enacted tax cuts will reduce State revenues by $13.3 billion. The annual cost of the already enacted tax cuts increases to $14.3 billion in SFY 2002-03 and to $15.4 billion in SFY 2003-04. This does not include the $530 million in new tax cuts that the Governor has proposed in the SFY 2001-02 budget. This $530 million dollar cost will occur when all the proposed new tax cuts are fully implemented. The largest of these tax cuts are $300 million in targeted tax incentives for Upstate New York businesses, particularly manufacturing businesses including the proposed elimination of the Alternative Minimum Tax which will cost $50 million when fully implemented. The Governor is also proposing a new $230 million Co-STAR program which will reduce county property and New York City personal income taxes for income-eligible senior homeowners and farmers.

 

It is important to note that these budget gaps are based on economic forecasts of slower growth in the next two fiscal years. They will be significantly larger if the State experiences a sharper slowdown in the State economy that the Executive Budget forecasts. It is also important to note that last year’s Executive Budget forecasted at least a $1.226 billion structural deficit for SFY 2001-02 and a $2.642 billion structural deficit for SFY 2002-03, and that those structural deficits are now significantly lower. The difference is that the unexpected multi-billion revenue growth the State has experienced over the last six years is unlikely to continue in the next three years because the Wall Street revenue growth and the increased salaries, bonuses, and capital gains revenues it generated are unlikely to continue. Based on these assumptions, the Governor’s proposal to keep over $2 billion in reserve seems prudent in light of the fact that the projected $2.9 billion structural deficit for SFY 2003-04 is based on an assumption of only 1.1% growth in State Operations spending in SFY 2003-04. This assumes no further collective bargaining increases after current employee contracts expire on March 31, 2003.

 

APPROPRIATIONS AND CASH SPENDING IN SFY 2000-01

 

The Governor’s budget address refers to the SFY 2001-02 Executive Budget as an $83.6 billion all funds budget, a $4.2 billion or 5.3% increase over last year’s estimated $79.43 billion all funds budget. Many press accounts have made much of the fact that the Governor spent $1.93 billion more than the enacted SFY 2000-01 budget planned. However, all but $338 million was spent out of reserve funds to pay for collective bargaining agreements and to reduce State debt payments. $250 million of the remaining $338 million in additional spending was due to lower than expected revenues from the sale of the Medical Malpractice Insurance Association. The remainder of the increase was primarily due to higher costs for litigation, State employee health insurance programs, and Medicaid.

 

The Executive Budget proposes an increase in General Fund (i.e. State income not earmarked for a particular program or activity) spending of $1.45 billion, or 3.6%, to $41.34 billion. However, these figures only reflect the cash spending proposed for SFY 2001-02 budget. The total recommended appropriations for all funds in the proposed SFY 2001-02 budget equal $129.737 billion, only a $430 million increase over the SFY 2000-01 all funds appropriations.

 

State Operations all funds cash spending for SFY 2000-01 would be $14.605 billion, an increase of $434 million, or 3.06%, from estimated SFY 2000-01 all funds cash spending. This increase is largely due to:

 

SFY 2001-02 all funds cash spending for Local Assistance will increase by approximately $3.379 billion, or 6.17%, from SFY 2000-01 all funds cash spending.

 

 

SUMMARY OF EXECTIVE BUDGET PROPOSALS FOR MAJOR STATE AGENCIES

 

This section highlights the major changes proposed in the Executive Budget for the major State agencies. Executive Board members and Statewide Labor-Management Chairs will receive a more detailed analysis for these agencies in a separate mailing.

 

HEALTH, MENTAL HYGIENE AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONSERVATION (S904/A1302)

 

Office of Mental Health

 

The Executive Budget recommends the net reduction of 296 FTEs in SFY 2001-02. The estimated FTE workforce will be 18,243 positions on March 31, 2002. The Executive Budget also recommends:

 

Details on staff impact are not yet available. However, comments by OMH indicate that transfers to OMH and other State agencies will be accomplished through voluntary transfers, without layoffs.

 

 

Office of Mental Retardation and Developmental Disabilities

 

The Executive Budget recommends a net increase of 245 FTEs, including an increase of 232 FTEs in the Community Services program and 38 FTEs in the Institutional Services program, offset by a reduction of 25 FTEs in Central Coordination and Support. The FTE workforce will be 22,182 positions on March 31, 2002. The Executive Budget also recommends:

 

 

Department of Health

 

The Executive Budget recommends a net increase of 37 FTEs. The FTE workforce will be 6,259 positions on March 31, 2002. The Executive Budget also recommends:

 

Environmental Conservation

 

The Executive Budget recommends a net decrease of (35) FTEs. The FTE workforce will be 3,743 positions on March 31, 2002. The Executive Budget also recommends:

 

 

 

EDUCATION, LABOR AND FAMILY ASSISTANCE (S905/A1305)

 

Office of Children and Family Services

 

The Executive Budget recommends an FTE level of 4,534, which represents an increase of 57 FTEs. Specific program changes include an additional 80 FTEs in Child Care, an additional 18 FTEs in Systems Support, an additional 6 FTEs in Family and Children Services, and a reduction of (47) FTEs in Youth Facilities. The Executive Budget also recommends:

 

Office of Temporary & Disability Assistance

 

The Executive Budget recommends:

 

Education Department

 

The Executive Budget recommends:

 

State University of New York

 

The Executive Budget notes that "the SUNY hospitals have developed financially-driven strategic plans for achieving self-sufficiency over a five year period. These plans include an array of actions to achieve operational savings, and specific strategic investments to generate additional revenues." The Executive Budget goes on to say, "All hospitals’ spending will be appropriated in one account with the hospitals being responsible for directly paying their fringe benefit and debt service costs. By structuring the hospital appropriations in this manner, the SUNY hospitals will be directly accountable for operating within their available revenues, including a fixed State subsidy account."

 

Based on this change, the Executive Budget for the first time lined out the specific appropriations for each of the SUNY hospitals. These amounts are provided in the attached spread sheet. Since they have not been provided previously there is no basis for comparison.

 

The Executive Budget recommends:

 

It is unclear what the impact of these proposals will have on SUNY Hospital employees; this issue needs to be clarified with the management of each SUNY Hospital and SUNY central. SUNY central will be briefing PEF in the next couple of weeks.

 

 

PUBLIC PROTECTION AND GENERAL GOVERNMENT (S905/A1305)

 

Department of Correctional Services

 

The Executive Budget recommends a decrease of 614 FTEs, including a reduction of 126 Program Services positions and 31 Health Services positions. The FTE workforce will be 32,272 positions on March 31, 2002. The Executive Budget also recommends:

 

Department of Taxation and Finance

 

The Executive Budget recommends:

 

Office for Technology

 

The Executive Budget recommends:

 

 

TRANSPORTATION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT (S1602/A3002)

 

Department of Transportation

 

The Executive Budget recommends a net increase of 144 FTEs. The FTE workforce will be 10,757 positions on March 31, 2002. The Executive Budget also recommends:

 

Department of Economic Development

 

The Executive Budget recommends a net increase of 20 FTEs. The FTE workforce will be 273 positions on March 31, 2002. The increase in FTEs is due to the addition of 20 FTEs in the Marketing and Advertising Program (General Fund).

 

Office of Parks, Recreation and Historic Preservation

 

The Executive Budget recommends a net decrease of (12) FTEs. The FTE workforce will be 1,661 positions on March 31, 2002. The Executive Budget also recommends:

 

OTHER MAJOR EXECUTIVE BUDGET PROPOSALS

 

The Executive Budget recommends:

 

 

 

FINAL OBSERVATIONS

 

The Executive Budget’s proposed cuts of $130 million in Medicaid spending for nursing homes, which would result in a total loss of $350 million in federal, State, and local aid for nursing homes, and a $382 million increase in local school aid are not likely to be approved by the Legislature. The Assembly has already criticized the Medicaid cuts and the Assembly and Senate have both stated that more school aid will be provided. The Assembly has said that the school aid increase should be at least $1.4 billion, which is the amount the Board of Regents has requested. The school-aid debate will be made more complicated and contentious because of the recent ruling by the State Supreme Court that the State’s school financing system is unconstitutional because it under-funds urban school districts such as New York City. There is at least a $1.4 billion surplus and the Assembly has said that the surplus is really at least $2.4 billion. If some of or the entire surplus is spent there appears to be adequate funding for education aid increases, Medicaid increases and restorations for OMH, which will be a major PEF priority along with the fight to stop the closures of OMH Psychiatric Centers.

 

We will keep you informed as we get more details about the Executive Budget. It is important that all Labor-Management Chairs schedule meetings with their agency management as soon as possible to get more budget details. Please call the Research Department if you have any questions about or have further information to add to our budget analysis.

 

 

Attachment A

 

2000-01 Estimated FTEs 3/31/01

2001-02 Estimated FTEs 3/31/02

FTE Change

Agency

     

Adirondack Park Agency

64

64

0

Advocate for Persons with Disabilities, Office of

20

19

(1)

Aging, Office for the

157

157

0

Agriculture and Markets, Department of

564

595

31

Alcoholic Beverage Control, Division of

208

196

(12)

Alcoholism and Substance Abuse Services, Office of

1,008

1,001

(7)

Arts, Council on the *

509

508

(1)

Audit and Control, Department of

2,286

2,331

45

Banking Department

619

599

(20)

Children and Families, Council on

19

21

2

Children and Family Services, Office of

4,477

4,534

57

Civil Service, Department of

668

673

5

Commission of Corrections

39

39

0

Consumer Protection Board, State

33

22

(11)

Correctional Services, Department of

32,886

32,272

(614)

Crime Victims Board

99

94

(5)

Criminal Justice Services

766

780

14

Domestic Violence, Office of the Prevention of

38

37

(1)

Economic Development, Department of

253

273

20

Education - Agency Operations *

2,779

2,787

8

Elections, State Board of

46

46

0

Employee Relations, Office of

95

93

(2)

Environmental Conservation, Department of

3,778

3,743

(35)

Environmental Facilities Corporation

98

98

0

General Services, Office of

2,077

2,034

(43)

Health - Agency Operations

6,222

6,259

37

Higher Education Services Corporation, New York State

830

830

0

Housing and Community Renewal, Division of

1,063

1,073

10

Human Rights, Division of

191

200

9

Insurance Department

944

924

(20)

Labor, Department of

4,575

4,575

0

Law, Department of

1,828

1,831

3

Lottery, Division of the

332

358

26

Mental Health, Office of

18,539

18,243

(296)

Mental Retardation and Developmental Disabilities, Office of

21,937

22,182

245

Military and Naval Affairs, Division of

653

644

(9)

Motor Vehicles, Department of

3,394

3,384

(10)

Parks, Recreation and Historic Preservation, Office of

1,673

1,661

(12)

Parole

2,419

2,392

(27)

Probation and Correctional Alternatives

33

33

0

Public Service Department

619

598

(21)

Quality of Care for the Mentally Disabled, Commission on

93

93

0

Racing and Wagering Board, State

123

123

0

Real Property Services, Office of

460

460

0

Roswell Park Cancer Institute

1,996

1,996

0

State Insurance Fund

2,806

2,806

0

State University of New York

34,976

34,976

0

State, Department of

850

884

34

State Police

5,181

5,243

62

Tax Appeals, Division of

37

36

(1)

Taxation and Finance, Department of

5,480

5,410

(70)

Technology, Office for

710

710

0

Temporary and Disability Assistance, Office of

2,594

2,569

(25)

Transportation, Department of

10,613

10,757

144

Veterans' Affairs, Division of

128

128

0

Workers' Compensation Board

1,710

1,688

(22)

Totals:

186,595

186,082

(513)

       

* Includes proposal to move the State Library, State Museum and the State Archives from the State Education Department to the Council on the Arts.

 

 

 

Attachment B

Agency

3/31/01 Estimate

Abolitions

Attrition

New Positions

Mergers

Change

3/31/02 Estimate

Adirondack Park Agency

64

       

0

64

Advocate for Persons with Disabilities,

20

 

(1)

   

(1)

19

Aging, Office for the

157

       

0

157

Agriculture and Markets, Department of

564

   

31

 

31

595

Alcoholic Beverage Control,

208

 

(12)

   

(12)

196

Alcoholism and Substance Abuse Services, Office of

1,008

 

(7)

   

(7)

1,001

Arts, Council on the*

64

 

(1)

 

445

444

508

Audit and Control, Department of

2,286

   

45

 

45

2,331

Banking Department

619

 

(20)

   

(20)

599

Children and Families, Council on

19

   

2

 

2

21

Children and Family Services, Office of

4,477

 

(50)

107

 

57

4,534

Civil Service, Department of

668

 

(8)

13

 

5

673

Consumer Protection Board, State

33

 

(11)

   

(11)

22

Corrections Commission

39

       

0

39

Correctional Services, Department of

32,886

 

(614)

   

(614)

32,272

Criminl Justice Services

766

 

(2)

16

 

14

780

Crime Victims Board

99

 

(5)

   

(5)

94

Economic Development, Department of

253

   

20

 

20

273

Education - Agency Operations *

3,224

 

(13)

21

(445)

(437)

2,787

Elections, State Board of

46

       

0

46

Employee Relations, Office of

95

 

(2)

   

(2)

93

Environmental Conservation, Department of

3,778

 

(35)

   

(35)

3,743

Environmental Facilities Corporation

98

       

0

98

General Services, Office of

2,077

 

(48)

5

 

(43)

2,034

Health - Agency Operations

6,222

 

(15)

52

 

37

6,259

Higher Education Services Corporation, New York State

830

       

0

830

Housing and Community Renewal, Division of

1,063

 

(4)

14

 

10

1,073

Human Rights, Division of

191

   

9

 

9

200

Insurance Department

944

 

(20)

   

(20)

924

Labor, Department of

4,575

       

0

4,575

Law, Department of

1,828

   

3

 

3

1,831

Lottery, Division of the

332

   

26

 

26

358

Mental Health, Office of

18,539

 

(355)

59

 

(296)

18,243

Mental Retardation and Developmental Disabilities, Office of

21,937

 

(439)

684

 

245

22,182

Military and Naval Affairs, Division of

653

 

(10)

1

 

(9)

644

Motor Vehicles, Department of

3,394

 

(53)

43

 

(10)

3,384

Parks, Recreation and Historic Preservation, Office of

1,673

 

(13)

1

 

(12)

1,661

Parole

2,419

 

(27)

   

(27)

2,392

Prevention of Domestic Violence, Office of

38

 

(1)

   

(1)

37

Probation and Correctional Alternatives

33

       

0

33

Public Service Department

619

 

(21)

   

(21)

598

Quality of Care for the Mentally Disabled, Commission on

93

       

0

93

Racing and Wagering Board, State

123

       

0

123

Real Property Services, Office of

460

       

0

460

Roswell Park Cancer Institute

1,996

       

0

1,996

State Police

5,181

 

(42)

104

 

62

5,243

State University of New York

34,978

       

0

34,978

State, Department of

850

 

(13)

47

 

34

884

State Insurance Fund

2,808

       

0

2,808

Tax Appeals, Division of

37

 

(1)

   

(1)

36

Taxation and Finance, Department of

5,480

 

(70)

   

(70)

5,410

Technology, Office for

710

       

0

710

Temporary and Disability Assistance, Office of

2,594

 

(55)

30

 

(25)

2,569

Transportation, Department of

10,613

 

(143)

287

 

144

10,757

Veterans' Affairs, Division of

128

       

0

128

Workers' Compensation Board

1,710

 

(34)

12

 

(22)

1,688

Other Agencies

10,657

 

(17)

11

 

(6)

10,651

Adjustment

(2,256)

       

0

(2,256)

Totals:

195,000

0

(2,162)

1,643

0

(519)

194,481

SOURCE: Governors Office of Employee Relations and PEF Research

* Includes proposal to move the State Library, State Museum and the State Archives from the State Education Department to the Council on the Arts.